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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 20-09-09, 22:25
MDunleavy
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Default EUR/CHF Outlook

EUR/CHF Outlook

EUR/CHF's strong rebound argues that it has bottomed out at 1.5109 on bullish convergence condition in 4 hours MACD but there was no confirmation yet. We'll stay neutral for the moment. Break of 1.5242 will confirm that fall from 1.5364, as well as consolidation from 1.5380 has completed and turn outlook bullish for retesting 1.5364/80 resistance zone. On the downside, another fall cannot be ruled out, but we'll expect strong support form 100% projection of 1.5380 to 1.5108 from 1.5364 at 1.5092 and bring reversal.[actionforex]

P&F EURCHF5 Box Size 4X3 or(0.08%) HI/LO
Data 1.5224 - 1.5109 ~ 0 Month ~ 7.25 Day
Database 1500 records 1.51443 (Last Close)
2009-09-11 16~50
2009-09-18 22~55
(GMT+01:00) Paris

BJF Trading Group

1.5224|~4||||______________________________x______ _______|0%|0.76%
1.5220|~8||||______________________________x_o____ _______|0.03%|0.73%
1.5216|~12|||______________________________x_o____ _______|0.05%|0.71%
1.5212|~16|||______________________________x_o____ _______|0.08%|0.68%
1.5208|~2O|||______________________________x_o____ _______|0.11%|0.66%
1.5204|~24|||______________________________x_o____ _______|0.13%|0.63%
1.5200|~28|||______________________________x_o____ _______|0.16%|0.6%
1.5196|~32|||__________________________x___x_o____ _______|0.18%|0.58%
1.5192|~36|||__________________________x_o_x_o____ _______|0.21%|0.55%
1.5188|~4O|||__________________________x_o_x_o____ _______|0.24%|0.52%
1.5184|~44|||__________________________x_o_x_o____ _______|0.26%|0.5%
1.5180|~48|||__________________________x_o_x_o____ _______|0.29%|0.47%
1.5176|~52|||__________________________x_o_x_o____ _______|0.32%|0.44%
1.5172|~56|||______________________x___x_o___o____ _______|0.34%|0.42%
1.5168|~6O|||__________________x___x_o_x_____o_x__ _______|0.37%|0.39%
1.5164|~64|||__________________x_o_x_o_x_____o_x_o _______|0.39%|0.36%
1.5160|~68|||__________________x_o_x_o_______o_x_o _______|0.42%|0.34%
1.5156|~72|||__________________x_o___________o_x_o _______|0.45%|0.31%
1.5152|~76|||__________________x_____________o_x_o _____x_|0.47%|0.28%
1.5148|~8O|||__________________x_____________o___o _x___x_|0.5%|0.26%
1.5144|~84|||==================x=================o =x=o=x=|0.53%|0.23%
1.5140|~88|||______x___________x_________________o _x_o_x_|0.55%|0.21%
1.5136|~92|||__x___x_o_x_______x_________________o ___o___|0.58%|0.18%
1.5132|~96|||o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x___x__________________ _______|0.6%|0.15%
1.5128|~1OO||o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x__________________ _______|0.63%|0.13%
1.5124|~1O4||o_x_o_x_o___o_x_o_x__________________ _______|0.66%|0.1%
1.5120|~1O8||o_x_o_______o___o____________________ _______|0.68%|0.07%
1.5116|~112||o_x__________________________________ _______|0.71%|0.05%
1.5112|~116||o____________________________________ _______|0.74%|0.02%
1.5108|~12O||_____________________________________ _______|0.76%|-0.01%
Column|~124||6_6_4_5_4_3_4_3_3_123_4_3_9_6_13195_8 _3_3_4_|
Count




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  #2 (permalink)  
Old 26-11-09, 09:36
MDunleavy
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Default

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. But still with 1.5102 support intact, we're favoring the bullish case that choppy fall from 1.5238 has completed at 1.5080 already. Above 1.5145 will bring rise resumption to 1.5238 resistance first. Nevertheless, break of 1.5102 minor support will dampen this immediate bullish view and indicate that another fall could still be seen to 1.5076 and below before concluding recent consolidations.
In the bigger picture, firstly, price actions from 1.5446 are treated as consolidation to rise from 1.4577 only and such rise is expected to resume sooner or later to test 1.5880 resistance. Secondly, the corrective structure of the fall from 1.5880 to 1.4577 indicates that it's a correction to medium term rise from 1.4315. Rise from 1.4577 is tentatively treated as resumption of rally from 1.4315. Hence we're expecting an eventual break of 1.5880 as rise from 1.4315 resumes. In other words, we're favoring the case that long term down trend from 1.6826 has completed at 1.4315 already. We'll hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.5007 support remains intact.[actionforex]


"P&F EURCHF1440 Box Size 80X4 or(2.06%) HI/LO
Data 1.6827 - 1.4315 ~ 48 Month ~ 1477 Day
Database 1050 records 1.50417 (Last Close)
2005-11-10 00~00
2009-11-26 00~00
(GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"

1.6800|~8O|||____X___________________________|0.16 %|17.36%
1.6720|~16O||____XoX_________________________|0.64 %|16.8%
1.6640|~24O||__X_XoXo________________________|1.11 %|16.24%
1.6560|~32O||__XoXoXo________________________|1.59 %|15.68%
1.6480|~4OO||__XoXoXo________________________|2.06 %|15.12%
1.6400|~48O||__XoXoXo________________________|2.54 %|14.57%
1.6320|~56O||__XoXo_o__X_X___________________|3.01 %|14.01%
1.6240|~64O||__Xo___o__XoXo__________________|3.49 %|13.45%
1.6160|~72O||__X____oX_XoXo__________________|3.96 %|12.89%
1.6080|~8OO||__X____oXoXoXo__________________|4.44 %|12.33%
1.6000|~88O||__X____oXoXo_o__________________|4.91 %|11.77%
1.5920|~96O||__X____oXoX__o__________________|5.39 %|11.21%
1.5840|~1O4O|X_X____o_oX__o________X_________|5.87 %|10.65%
1.5760|~112O|XoX______oX__o________Xo________|6.34 %|10.09%
1.5680|~12OO|XoX______oX__o________Xo________|6.82 %|9.54%
1.5600|~128O|XoX______oX__o________Xo________|7.29 %|8.98%
1.5520|~136O|Xo_______oX__oX_____X_Xo________|7.77 %|8.42%
1.5440|~144O|X________oX__oXo____XoXo____X___|8.24 %|7.86%
1.5360|~152O|_________o___oXo____XoXo____XoX_|8.72 %|7.3%
1.5280|~16OO|_____________oXo____XoXo____XoXo|9.19 %|6.74%
1.5200|~168O|_____________oXo____Xo_o____XoXo|9.67 %|6.18%
1.5120|~176O|_____________o_o__X_X__oX_X_XoXo|10.1 4%|5.62%
1.5040|~184O|_______________o__XoX__oXoXoXo_o|10.6 2%|5.06%
1.4960|~192O|_______________o__XoX__oXoXoX___|11.1 %|4.51%
1.4880|~2OOO|_______________oX_XoX__oXoXoX___|11.5 7%|3.95%
1.4800|~2O8O|_______________oXoXoX__o_oXoX___|12.0 5%|3.39%
1.4720|~216O|_______________oXoXo_____o_oX___|12.5 2%|2.83%
1.4640|~224O|_______________oXoX________o____|13%| 2.27%
1.4560|~232O|_______________oXo______________|13.4 7%|1.71%
1.4480|~24OO|_______________oX_______________|13.9 5%|1.15%
1.4400|~248O|_______________oX_______________|14.4 2%|0.59%
1.4320|~256O|_______________o________________|14.9 %|0.03%
1.4240|~264O|________________________________|15.3 7%|-0.52%
Column|~272O|64157651411441517475148145561544|
Count|~28OO||__4____1_O2__5_5____O__3____O___|




BJF-Trading-Group-091126_eurchfMix.xls
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