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Old 08-06-15, 10:57
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Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:45 GMT)

EURUSD

Euro ended Friday’s trading in long red candle, following sharp fall, triggered by better-than-expected US jobs data that further support the greenback and keep hopes of Fed’s rate hike. The pair dipped to 1.1047 low, where daily 10SMA contained losses, on acceleration from Friday’s intraday high at 1.1274 that retraced nearly 61.8% of 1.0818/1.1378 recovery marking temporary top at 1.1378. Negative sentiment, established after recovery rejection at 1.1378 and Friday’s acceleration lower, keeps the downside in focus. Loss of Friday’s low and psychological 1.10 support, would increase risk of revisiting key short-term support and breakpoint at 1.0818, low of 27 May, loss of which to confirm reversal from 1.1465 peak and lower top at 1.1378. Near-term price action consolidates above fresh low at 1.1047, with consolidation range top 1.1134, also Fibonacci 38.2% of Friday’s fall, reinforced by daily 20SMA that also marks the first pivot. Break here would delay near-term bears, for stronger correction, which should be ideally capped under 1.1180/1.1200, to keep intact Friday’s peaks and breakpoints at 1.1274/78.

Res: 1.1134; 1.1180; 1.1221; 1.1278
Sup: 1.1082; 1.1047; 1.1000; 1.0916






GBPUSD

The pair enters near-term consolidation, holding within narrow range of some 30-pips, after last Friday’s fall reached bottom at 1.5189 and kept intact key near-term support at 1.51368, low of 01 June, reinforced by daily 100SMA. Consolidation so far holds below psychological 1.53 barrier, reinforced by daily Tenkan-sen line, where consolidative phase should be ideally capped, as near-term studies remain bearish and daily technicals are turning in bearish mode. Loss of pivotal 1.5168 support, to trigger further extension of the downleg from 1.5813 top and look for 1.5088, higher low of 04 May and 1.5041, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of 1.4563/1.5813 rally. Conversely, sustained break and close above 1.53 barrier, would delay near-term bears, for further correction of the downleg from 1.5439 to 1.5189.

Res: 1.5368; 1.5393; 1.5439; 1.5489
Sup: 1.5340; 1.5320; 1.5300; 1.5249








USDJPY

The pair extended larger uptrend on last Friday’s acceleration that posted fresh high at 125.84, levels last traded in May 2002. General tone remains firmly bullish and keeps the upside focused, despite overextended conditions of larger picture’s studies. Near-term price action holds in consolidative mode, following position adjustments under fresh high. Former top at 125.03, marks initial support and pivot point, where consolidation should be ideally contained. Otherwise, expect stronger pullback to precede fresh action higher. Key near-term support lies at 123.76 higher base and only break here would sideline near-term bulls. Key near-term target remains at psychological 130 barrier.

Res: 125.66; 125.84; 126.00; 126.50
Sup: 125.27; 125.03; 124.55; 124.21







AUDUSD
Aussie has eventually fully reversed near-term 0.7596/0.7817correction leg, following last Friday’s post, data acceleration that bottomed at 0.7596. Narrow near-term consolidation is expected to precede fresh leg lower that looks for full retracement of larger 0.7531/0.8161 rally. Near-term studies hold bearish tone, with bearish setup of daily indicators, supporting the notion. Descending daily 10SMA at 0.7681, is expected to cap, guarding pivotal barrier at 0.7724, last Friday’s high.
Res: 0.7641; 0.7681; 0.7705; 0.7724
Sup: 0.7596; 0.7551; 0.7531; 0.7500
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