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Old 06-05-15, 11:33
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Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:45 GMT)

EURUSD

The pair extends recovery rally from 1.1064, where correction off 1.1288 peak was contained by daily cloud top. Today’s acceleration above yesterday’s high at 1.1221, dented descending daily 100SMA that so far capped the upside action, opening way for final retest of key 1.1288 barrier, 01 May fresh recovery high. Strong bullish tone on daily studies, supports resumption of recovery leg from 1.0519, for extension above psychological 1.1300 barrier, towards next target at 1.1387, 38.2% of larger 1.2885/1.0461 bear-leg. Hesitation on approach to 1.1288 barrier could be anticipated, as hourly studies are overbought. Consolidation phase should be ideally holding above 1.1173, session low / near mid-point of recovery rally from 1.1064. Key near-term support and breakpoint lies at 1.1064, yesterday’s low and cloud top, reinforced by ascending daily 10SMA and potential break here would be a signal of stronger correction.

Res: 1.1269; 1.1288; 1.1350; 1.1387
Sup: 1.1221; 1.1173; 1.1143; 1.1108






GBPUSD

The pair trades in near-term consolidation phase above fresh lows at 1.5088, where near-term base was formed. Recovery attempts were so far capped under 38.2% of 1.5490/1.5088 pullback, keeping further recovery on hold. Weak 4-hour studies keep the downside vulnerable, with daily 100SMA reinforcing today’s lows and guarding more significant 1.5088 base and daily cloud top. Daily technicals maintain bullish tone and keep the upside focused, with extension above next barrier at 1.5260, daily Tenkan-sen line, required to accelerate near-term bulls for further recovery. However, regain of 1.5395, 01 May high and lower top, is needed to confirm higher base and open pivotal 1.5496 peak for retest and re-focus key short-term barrier at 1.5551, 26 Feb peak. Alternatively, violation of pivotal 1.5088 base would trigger further retracement of 1.4563/1.5496 rally and expose rally’s mid-point at 1.5030, reinforced by daily Kijun-sen line.

Res: 1.5240; 1.5289; 1.5336; 1.5395
Sup: 1.5148; 1.5111; 1.5088; 1.5030






USDJPY
The pair remains within short-term range and slides to range’s mid-point, following yesterday’s recovery attempt rejection at 120.49, where daily 20d upper Bollinger band capped and subsequent easing that broke into daily Ichimoku cloud. Key supports at 119.51/43, daily 20SMA / cloud’s base, stay intact for, with attempts and close below here, to further weaken soft near-term tone and expose range floor at 118.50. Daily technicals hold neutral tone and see extended range-trading as favored near-term scenario. Break of either boundary of the range, is required to signal fresh direction.

Res: 120.00; 120.26; 120.49; 120.83
Sup: 119.63; 119.51; 119.43; 119.25






AUDUSD
Aussie is in the second day of strong recovery that commenced from 0.78 zone higher base, where daily Kijun-sen line contained pullback from fresh recovery peak at 0.8073. Strong acceleration higher that so far retraced over 61.8% of 0.8073/0.7780 pullback, turned near-term focus towards the upper barriers. The notion is supported by near-term studies gaining traction and firm bullish tone on daily studies, where bullish setup of SMA’s and expanding Bollingers, support fresh action. Today’s low is reinforced by daily Tenkan-sen line at 0.7917, ahead of psychological 0.79 support, also daily 10SMA, that should ideally keep the downside protected. Fresh gains approach psychological 0.8000 barrier , with daily close above, to expose key 0.8073 barrier.
Res: 0.8000; 0.8025; 0.8073; 0.8100
Sup: 0.7955; 0.7917 0.7900; 0.7862



GOLD

Two-day recovery rally that hit psychological 1200 barrier, confirms false break lower, on a spike to 1170 and quick recovery, bringing the price back to the middle of short-term range. Near-term studies regained positive tone and along with daily 20SMA being dented, shifting near-term focus higher. Sustained break here and daily close above 1200 barrier, is needed to spark further acceleration and re-focus the upper boundary of the range. Neutral daily studies and contracted 20d Bollingers, however, confirm directionless short-term trade.

Res: 1200; 1204; 1210; 1215
Sup: 1192; 1186; 1180; 1175
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