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Old 21-05-14, 12:14
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Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:45 GMT)

EURUSD

The Euro continues to trade in sideways mode, with the upside being capped by 100 SMA at 1.3730 zone for now and holding below daily Ichimoku cloud base at 1.3725. Attempts lower were contained above 1.3670, the first breakpoint that acts as support. Lower timeframes studies are in neutral / negative mode, with overall price action being capped by descending 4-hour 55 SMA. Daily Technicals are negative and see scope for fresh leg lower, after completion of near-term consolidative phase. Fresh attempts lower require clear break below 1.3670 and lows at 1.3647/42, May/Feb lows, to confirm bearish resumption towards 1.3626, 200 SMA and psychological 1.36 support. Conversely, lift above recent peaks would delay bears, however, break above 1.38 barrier, reinforced by daily cloud top and 20/55SMA’s bear-cross, is needed to neutralize bears and signal stronger recovery.


Res: 1.3725; 1.3735; 1.3779; 1.3800
Sup: 1.3700; 1.3687; 1.3676; 1.3647






GBPUSD

Cable trades in near-term corrective phase off fresh low at 1.6730, with fresh strength, developing on lower timeframes. Fresh strength eventually broke above 1.6900 breakpoint, also 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.6995/1.6725 descend, signaling higher low formation and stronger recovery. Daily studies in positive territory, are gaining bullish momentum and support the notion. This opens way towards 1.70 psychological barrier, with corrective actions expected to interrupt. Immediate support lies at previous peak at 1.6860, ahead of 1.6830 and 1.68 breakpoint, loss of which to bring bears back in play.

Res: 1.6937; 1.6973; 1.6995; 1.7041
Sup: 1.6872; 1.6860; 1.6830; 1.6800







USDJPY


The pair maintains overall negative tone, as weakness off 102.35, recovery rejection, eventually broke below strong supports and short-term base at 101.40/20 zone. The structure is negative overall and keep risk towards the downside, with extension below 101.00, opening immediate target at 100.74, 04 Feb low, loss of which to signal bearish resumption of larger downtrend from 105.43, 02 Jan year-to-date high and focus psychological 100 support. Consolidation actions are expected to precede fresh weakness, with 104.40/60 lower tops, expected to ideally cap. Only break above 103 barrier would revive bulls and shift focus higher.

Res: 101.10; 1.10.20; 101.38; 101.59
Sup: 100.74; 100.60; 100.00; 99.14





AUDUSD


The pair maintains negative near-term tone after losing 0.9300 handle, with fresh weakness aiming towards 0.9200 support. Near-term studies are negative and support further weakness for full retracement of 0.9201/ 0.9407 upleg. Support at 0.92 zone is seen as a breakpoint and in case of extension lower, would signal an end of larger consolidation between 0.9200 and 0.9265, 10 Apr high and would trigger stronger correction of larger 0.8658/ 0.9460 uptrend. Next strong support lies at 0.9154, Fibonacci 38.2% retracement and 55/200SMA golden cross, with break here required to confirm bears fully in play. However, overextended conditions of lower timeframes studies, may delay immediate bears, in favor of corrective action, with 0.93 barrier, previous support and Fibonacci 38.2% of 0.9407/0.9215 descend offering the first strong resistance, ahead of 0.9330, Fibonacci 61.8% and previous range floor, where rallies should be limited.

Res: 0.9260; 0.9300; 0.9330; 0.9372
Sup: 0.9215; 0.9200, 0.9154; 0.9100







GOLD

Spot Gold remains in near-term sideways mode, trading within triangle-shaped narrowing range. Fresh attempt through psychological / 200SMA 1300 barrier, so far did not succeed, as the price holds below triangle’s upper boundary at 1304 and recent peak at 1308, posted on 14 May. The latter marks the first pivot, with break here required to signal further recovery and open next important barrier and range top at 1315, peak of 05 May. Studies on lower timeframes charts are neutral and see no direction for now. Sustained break above 1300 barrier is seen as an initial step for possible further upside, with break higher to confirm scenario. Otherwise, holding below 1300 handle would trigger further weakness. Clear break below 1285/83, recent lows and triangle support, to confirm bearish resumption and open 1277/73, ahead of key support at 1268, 24 Apr low.


Res: 1296; 1300; 1305; 1309
Sup: 1285; 1283; 1277; 1273
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