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Old 12-05-14, 12:06
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Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:45 GMT)

EURUSD

The Euro fell to 1.3750 zone, ending the week in red and erased all gains of last week, following false break above 1.39 resistance zone and upside rejection on approach to 1.40 barrier. Loss of 1.38, round-figure / trendline support and 1.3780, previous range floor, significantly weakened near-term structure and increased risk of double-top formation, in case of further weakness that requires loss of 1.3720, daily cloud base and 1.3670, 04 Apr higher low, to be confirmed. Bears may be delayed for corrective action, as near-term studies are oversold, with initial resistance at psychological 1.38 barrier, also near former range floor and 1.3840 lower top / near Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of 1.3992/1.3744 descend. Any stronger rallies should be capped under 1.39, previous strong resistance, to keep bears in play.


Res: 1.3800; 1.3840; 1.3868; 1.3900
Sup: 1.3744; 1.3720; 1.3700, 1.3670






GBPUSD

Cable stalled on approach to psychological 1.7000 barrier and pulled back to 1.6830 zone, triggering daily and weekly close in red and signaling possible stronger pullback in larger bull-trend. Reversal was so far contained by daily 20SMA and just above previous peaks, keeping overall bulls so far intact and marking current easing a technical pullback, before fresh attempts higher. On the other side, negative near-term studies and daily indicators in descending mode from overbought territory, keep the downside risk in play. Confirmation of negative scenario, however, requires clear break below higher platform at 1.6760 zone, to confirm. Otherwise, the upside targets will remain in near-term focus, with regain of 1.69 handle, required to confirm bulls back in play.


Res: 1.6900; 1.6918; 1.6973; 1.6995
Sup: 1.6800; 1.6760; 1.6730; 1.6700




USDJPY

The pair closed below 102 barrier, marking weekly close in negative tone, with daily indicators in negative zone, maintaining downside risk on the larger picture. On the other side, lower timeframes studies hold neutral stance, after near-term price action stabilized above 101.20, short-term base, averting immediate risk of violation of strong 101.20 / 100.74 support, in favor of extended consolidation. Gains so far hold below 102 resistance, keeping sideways mode in play, despite improved hourly studies. Only sustained break above 102 barrier and lower top at 102.18, to signal double-bottom formation and fresh recovery attempt.


Res: 102.00; 102.18; 102.40; 102.78
Sup: 101.42; 101.31; 101.20; 101.00





AUDUSD

The Aussie holds positive near-term tone against the greenback, as bounce from 0.92 base retraced nearly 76.4% of the pullback from 0.9460 to 0.9204. Daily cup-and-holder pattern is nearly completed, with clear break above 0.9380 required to confirm and open way for final push towards key 0.9460 barrier, 10 Apr high. The overall picture remains bullish, as near-term price action is underpinned by double bull-cross at 0.9150 zone; 20/200 and 55/200SMA’s. Break above 0.9460 top to confirm bullish resumption and open psychological 0.95 barrier next. Conversely, break below trendline support 0.9300 to delay, while only loss of 0.92 handle will be bearish


Res: 0.9377; 0.9393; 0.9424; 0.9460
Sup: 0.9346; 0.9317; 0.9300; 0.9250


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