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Old 29-01-14, 09:11
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Default Windsor Brokers - Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EURUSD

The Euro’s near-term tone is negatively aligned, as repeated rejection s at 1.37 barrier increased downside pressure. Extension below initial supports at 1.3660/50 tested main bull-trendline off 1.2754, 2013 low at 1.3630, also mid-point of 1.3529/1.3738 upleg, with support being reinforced by daily Tenkan-sen line and 4-hour 55DMA. Larger picture shows neutral tone, as the price consolidates last week’s rally. More bearish tone would be seen in case of violation of 1.3620/00 support zone that will confirm near-term top and expose lower targets at 1.3550 and 1.3500 zone. Otherwise, while 1.3600/20 supports hold, the upside attempts will remain in play in the near-term. Clear break above 1.37 handle is required to confirm bullish resumption.

Res: 1.3687; 1.3700; 1.3715; 1.3738
Sup: 1.3646; 1.3625; 1.3609; 1.3580





GBPUSD

Cable’s hourly structure is neutral, while 4-hour studies maintain positive tone, established on recovery rally from 1.6472 to 1.6623 so far. Narrow consolidation under 1.66 barrier is under way and expected to precede fresh attempt higher, while the price holds above 1.6544/34, bull-trendline off 1.6307 low / yesterday’s pullback low and Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.6472/1.6623 upleg. Break here would bring bears back in play and risk lower top formation.

Res: 1.6593; 1.6623; 1.6642; 1.6668
Sup: 1.6559; 1.6544; 1.6534; 1.6515





USDJPY

The pair remains in near-term corrective phase off fresh low at 101.75, posted on 27 Jan. Hourly structure improves, as the price sustains above 103 barrier, with fresh extension higher retracing over 50% of 104.83/101.75 fall. However, overall negative tone, established after repeated rejections at 105 hurdle and acceleration lower, would keep the downside vulnerable, as 4-hour studies are negative. Regain of previous strong supports at 103.90/104.00 is required to improve and sideline downside risk and shift near-term focus higher. Otherwise, risk of lower top formation would remain in play. Initial supports lay at 103.00 and 102.75, daily cloud top, below which downside acceleration would open 102.50 and 102.18.

Res: 103.43; 103.57; 103.90; 104.22
Sup: 103.00; 102.75; 102.50; 102.18





AUDUSD

The pair holds positive near-term tone, as extension of corrective rally from fresh low at 0.8658 probed above psychological 0.8800 barrier, also Fibonacci 61.8% of 0.8886/0.8658 descend and 4-hour 55DMA. Positive hourly conditions see potential for further upside, as 4-hour studies are gaining momentum. Break above fresh recovery tops at 0.8819/24 to confirm recovery and open key near-term barrier and breakpoint at 0.8886, 22 Jan high, with corrective actions to be ideally contained at 0.8760/50 zone, to keep fresh near-term bulls in play. On the larger picture, however, bears remain firmly in play and see resumption of larger downtrend upon completion of corrective phase.

Res: 0.8824; 0.8856; 0.8886; 0.8921
Sup: 0.8760; 0.8750; 0.8700; 0.8676

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