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Old 07-06-12, 15:10
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (13:00 GMT)

EUR/USD
The near-term positive sentiment brought the pair to our initial target and first barrier at 1.2600. Brief easing, seen today, found footstep at strong support at 1.2540, keeping bulls firmly in play. Lift above 1.2600, also daily 20 day MA, opens way towards the next strong barrier and breakpoint at 1.2620/40 zone, Fib 61.8% / 28 May high / previous yearly and 25 May low, break of which to signal stronger correction. Initial support lies at 1.2540, today’s low / main bull trendline, ahead of 1.2500.

Res: 1.2623, 1.2641, 1.2686, 1.2700
Sup: 1.2584, 1.2541, 1.2526, 1.2500





GBP/USD
Cable rallied sharply today, propped by BOE’s decision to keep rate and QE target unchanged. Rally from today’s low at 1.5428, accelerated pace after break above 1.5500/14, clearing 1.5544, Fib 61.8%, to come few ticks ahead of the next barrier at 1.5600. Strong bullish momentum sees potential for further gains, with clearance of 1.5600 to expose 1.5640, mid Feb lows and 1.5662, Fib 38.2% of 1.6300/1.5267 downleg. As hourly studies approach overbought zone, corrective action is not ruled out., Previous resistances at 1.5525/00 zone, now offer initial support, with 1.5470/50 zone expected to contain any stronger reversal.

Res: 1.5600, 1.5630, 1.5640, 1.5662
Sup: 1.5550, 1.5525, 1.5500, 1.5470





USD/JPY
The pair jumped after breaking above today’s previous high at 79.50, to approach our target and nest resistances at 80.00/13 zone, figure resistance / Fib 38.2% of 84.14/77.65 descend. Positive sentiment, established last Friday, nearly fully retraced recent 80.13/77.65 downleg, as gains accelerated after clearance of 78.65, 200 day MA / main bear trendline at former base at 79.00. Break above 80.13 to signal further correction towards 80.60, former double-top of 02/15 May. Corrective dips should ideally be contained at/above 79.00.

Res: 79.81, 80.00, 80.13, 80.60
Sup: 79.50, 79.20, 79.00, 78.60





USD/CHF
Continues to travel south, after yesterday’s break below significant support at 0.9675, extended near-term corrective pullback to 0.9520, Fib 61.8% of 0.9366/0.9769 upleg. As negative sentiment continues to drive the pair lower, test of the next support at 0.9500 is likely, with break here to open way for further retracement towards 0.9465/35. Near-term studies remain in the negative territory, with 20/55 day EMA’s crossover, maintaining negative tone and keeping the upside protected.

Res: 0.9575, 0.9600, 0.9650, 0.9675
Sup: 0.9500, 0.9465, 0.9436, 0.9400

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