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Old 15-05-12, 12:38
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EUR/USD
Extension below 1.2900 support that was lost yesterday, posted fresh 5-month low at 1.2813, overnight, just ahead of figure support at 1.2800. Negative structure sees potential for further weakness, with yearly low at 1.2622 now coming in focus. Any bounce higher, as hourly studies are in oversold territory, is for now seen as corrective, with strong barrier at 1.2900, previous low / 20 day EMA, while only lift above 1.2955/80 would delay bears.

Res: 1.2860, 1.2880, 1.2900, 1.2955
Sup: 1.2813, 1.2800, 1.2762, 1.2700





GBP/USD
Maintains near-term corrective tone off 1.6050, yesterday’s low, with brief break above 1.6100 handle and 1.6080 zone holding the downside for now. Clearance of 1.6130 zone, yesterday’s high / 55 day EMA / Fib 61.8% of 1.6181/1.6050 downleg is required to confirm near-term base at 1.6050 and open way for stronger retracement. On the downside, penetration of 1.6000 would signal an extension of short-term downtrend off 1.6300.

Res: 1.6122, 1.6130, 1.6181, 1.6200
Sup: 1.6084, 1.6050, 1.6000, 1.5984




USD/JPY
Brief penetration of 80.00 barrier also daily Ichimoku cloud base and quick reversal, keeps the upside limited for now. However, near-term price action remains supported at 79.80, with prospect for fresh strength still in play, as hourly studies started to point higher. Clearance of yesterday’s high / trendline resistance at 80.17/14 and Fibonacci 38.2% barrier at 80.32 is required to confirm further recovery. Otherwise, fresh attempt lower, as part of broader downtrend from 84.17, would be the likely scenario, as larger picture remains bearish.

Res: 79.92, 80.00, 80.17, 80.30
Sup: 79.80, 79.67, 79.42, 79.13





USD/CHF
Yesterday’s clearance of strong barrier at 0.9330, has so far reached 0.9371 high, en-route to initial target at 0.9400, with key med-term barriers above 0.9500, coming in focus. Overall positive structure keeps the upside favored, with corrective action on overextended near-term studies under way. Initial support at 0.9330is under pressure, with further reversal expected to find ground at 0.9300 zone, previous high / Fib 38.2% of 0.9193/0.9371 upleg, to keep bulls intact.

Res: 0.9371, 0.9388, 0.9400, 0.9450
Sup: 0.9330, 0.9300, 0.9269, 0.9250

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