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Old 12-03-12, 10:05
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:30 GMT)

EUR/USD
The pair maintains negative tone off last week’s high at 1.3277, accelerating losses after last Friday’s jobs data. Brief break below strong support at previous base at 1.3100, signal further weakness. Top of daily Ichimoku cloud at 1.3080, now offers initial support, as the latest slide was contained here, with bounce on oversold hourly studies, seen corrective. Immediate resistance lies at 1.3123, overnight’s high / hourly 20 day EMA, ahead of 1.3160, 55 day EMA. Negative near-term studies keep the downside favored for now, with strong supports at 1.3026, 01/06 Feb lows and figure support at 1.3000, to come in focus.

Res: 1.3123, 1.3134, 1.3164, 1.3200
Sup: 1.3080, 1.3026, 1.3000, 1.2973





GBP/USD
Last Friday’s sharp slide off 1.5800 zone, cleared initial supports at 1.5720/00, to test key short-term support zone at 1.5650, where temporary footstep was found. Corrective bounce faces immediate barriers at 1.5700, previous low / 20 day EMA and 1.5720, while only break above 1.5750 would ease immediate bear pressure, as negative hourly studies are at their extreme levels. On the downside, loss of 1.5650 to signal break below 5-week range and open 1.5600 zone next, figure support / 50% retracement of 1.5233/1.5991 upleg.

Res: 1.5690, 1.5700, 1.5722, 1.5750
Sup: 1.5650, 1.5612, 1.5600, 1.5530





USD/JPY
Holds positive tone after last Friday’s surge through 82.00/20 barriers and weekly close above 82.00 and weekly Ichimoku cloud, opening way for stronger reversal of long-term downtrend. Next significant barrier lies at 82.97, Fib 38.2% of downleg from 2010 high at 94.97 to record low at 75.56. On the downside, corrective pullback off fresh 10-month high at 82.63, posted last Friday, so far holds above initial support at 82.00, with next levels at 81.84, Fib 38.2% of 80.55/82.63 / 55 day EMA and 81.40, Fib 61.8. Only loss of the latter would weaken the near-term structure and risk test of key near-term support at 80.55, 06/07 Mar higher platform.

Res: 82.38, 82.50, 82.63, 82.97
Sup: 82.10, 82.00, 81.88, 81.60





USD/CHF
Strong rally from last week’s higher base at 0.9070, has cleared previous high and strong barrier at 0.9250, to signals further extension higher and test of 0.9250 and key short-term resistance at 0.9300, previous high / daily Ichimoku cloud base. Overextended hourly studies see potential for stronger correction, as the pair tests levels under 0.9200, with 0.9188, overnight’s low / 20 day EMA, coming first, ahead of 0.9160, Fib 38.2% of 0.9070/0.9217 rally / 55 day EMA, where dips should be contained, to keep bulls in play.

Res: 0.9200, 0.9217, 0.9250, 0.9260
Sup: 0.9188, 0.9173, 0.9159, 0.9126

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