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Old 24-01-12, 14:37
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:45 GMT)

EUR/USD

Maintains short-term bullish structure after pullback from last Friday’s high left higher low at 1.2875, previous high and strong support, ahead of fresh strength through 1.3000, psychological support. Market is approaching key barrier at 1.3080 zone, 03 Jan high / Fib 50% of 1.3547/1.2622 descend, break of which to extend recovery and expose next significant resistance at 1.3145 Oct 2011 low. Initial support lies at 1.2984, with 20 day SMA at 1.2945, maintaining short-term bulls. Only loss of breakpoint at 1.2875 would weaken short-term tone.

Res: 1.3050, 1.3075, 1.3100, 1.3145
Sup: 1.3000, 1.2984, 1.2950, 1.2900





GBP/USD

The pair’s one-week rally from 1.5233, 13 Jan low, accelerated after break through strong barrier at 1.5500, to test 1.5600, figure resistance / daily 55 day SMA, where gains ran out of steam. The pullback is seen corrective while support zone at 1.5515/00 hold the downside, with gains through 1.5600 to open strong resistance zone at 1.5670, highs of 03/04 Jan / 90 day SMA / main bear trendline, drawn off 1.6617 peak, for test. Only loss of 1.5500 would weaken short-term structure.

Res: 1.5578, 1.5600, 1.5668, 1.5678
Sup: 1.5536, 1.5515, 1.5500, 1.5450





USD/JPY

Enters again narrow range directionless trading, after upside stays capped at 77.30 zone and temporary support found above key support at 76.50. Near-term studies are neutral, however, larger timeframes outlook remains skewed to the downside, as daily 90 day SMA continues to cap the upside, with risk seen towards 76.50, loss of which to trigger further weakness and expose next support at 76.00.

Res: 77.07, 77.32, 77.50, 78.00
Sup: 76.85, 76.75, 76.65, 76.50




USD/CHF

The near-term price action sees the pair consolidating recent heavy losses that so far reached 0.9250 low. Narrow consolidation holds below 0.9300, initial resistance, with negative short-term studies keeping the downside favored. Next targets lie at 0.9200, Fib 38.2% of 0.8566/0.9593, ahead of 90 day SMA, currently at 0.9170. Only lift above 0.9300, previous low and dynamic resistance of 20 day SMA, currently at 0.9330, would delay immediate bears, while regain of 0.9376/0.9400 is required to confirm near-term basing.

Res: 0.9300, 0.9323, 0.9376, 0.9400
Sup: 0.9250, 0.9242, 0.9200, 0.9170

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