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Old 16-01-12, 14:43
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:45 GMT)

EUR/USD

Has spiraled lower after last week’s strong recovery regained levels close to 1.2900 mark. Fresh 1 ½ year low was posted at 1.2622 last Friday, after steep decline followed news of credit rating downgrade. Near-term studies continue to point lower, with recovery attempt from 1.2622 lower being short-lived, despite oversold conditions, as the pair opened lower in Asian session. Immediate focus lies at 1.2600, Fib 76.4% of 1.1875/1.4938, 2010/2011 ascend, ahead of more significant support at 1.2586, 22 Aug 2010 low, loss of which to open way towards key longer-term level at 1.1875, low of 2010. Immediate resistance lies at 1.2700, with dynamic resistance of 4H 20 day SMA, currently at 1.2740, maintaining bears. Only regain of key near-term barrier at 1.2877, would improve the outlook.

Res: 1.2665, 1.2700, 1.2725, 1.2750
Sup: 1.2622, 1.2600, 1.2586, 1.2550





GBP/USD

Continues to channel lower from 1.5668, 04 Jan high, after loss of key supports at 1.5360/1.5271, spiked to fresh low at 1.5233 last Friday, testing levels last seen in July 2010. Negative studies continue to pressure the pair, with 1.5000 zone coming in focus. Bounces are for now seen corrective, with immediate barriers at 1.5380, trendline resistance and 1.5400, last Friday’s high / Fib 38.2% of 1.5668/1.5233, expected to limit the upside. Regain of key short-term barrier at 1.5500 would provide relief.

Res: 1.5328, 1.5360, 1.5400, 1.5425
Sup: 1.5298, 1.5275, 1.5233, 1.5200





USD/JPY

Remains within narrow range, as 77.00 barrier stays intact. Interim support at 76.65 holds for now, however, negative near-term studies keep the downside under pressure, with loss of 76.65 and key support at 76.50, to open way for further weakness at expose 76.00 and record low at 75.56. Only break above 77.20/32, 90 day SMA / 06 Jan high, would ease bear pressure and allow for stronger recovery towards 78.00.

Res: 77.00, 77.32, 77.40, 77.52
Sup: 76.75, 76.65, 76.55, 76.10





USD/CHF

The pair has regained strength after finding support at 0.9400 zone, daily 20 day SMA, where a double bottom was left, ahead of strong rally. Clearance of 0.9500 barrier has so far reached 0.9573, just ahead of key near-term barrier at 0.9600, break of which is required to resume broader uptrend and expose 0.9700 next. Corrective pullbacks are expected to hold above 0.9500, also 4H 20 day SMA, to maintain current positive structure.

Res: 0.9560, 0.9573, 0.9593, 0.9600
Sup: 0.9531, 0.9516, 0.9500, 0.9480

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