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Old 10-01-12, 21:48
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (15:00 GMT)

EUR/USD

The pair extended recovery from 1.2665 low, to probe levels above 1.2800 mark, with 1.2817 high, near Fib 38.2% of 1.3071/1.2665, seen so far. Hourly studies remain supportive, as 20 day SMA maintains recent gains. Clear break above 1.2820 to open next array of resistances at 1.2870 zone, Fib 50% / 2011 low, with lift above 1.2900 required to confirm near-term base. Today’s lows at 1.2762/40, offer initial support and are expected to contain dips and keep near-term positive structure intact.

Res: 1.2817, 1.2820, 1.2857, 1.2870
Sup: 1.2762, 1.2740, 1.2720, 1.2700





GBP/USD

Gets congested under 1.5500 barrier, as today’s fresh strength failed to break higher. Three-day corrective phase off 1.5374 low, maintains positive tone as long as 1.5455/45 zone, bull trendline off 1.5374 / today’s low, holds. Break above 1.5500 triangle resistance and clearance of more important 1.5520 barrier, 06 Jan high / Fib 50%, would signal stronger recovery towards next Fibonacci level at 1.5555 and figure resistance at 1.5600.

Res: 1.5500, 1.5520, 1.5555, 1.5579
Sup: 1.5455, 1.5445, 1.5420, 1.5400





USD/JPY

Continues to move within a narrow range, after finding temporary ground at 76.75. Hourly studies are in neutral mode, however, 4H outlook maintains bearish tone, while holding below strong barriers at 77.00 and 77.32, 06 Jan peak, where gains were capped by daily 90 day SMA. Break below 76.75 and strong support at 75.50, would signal an end of corrective phase and fresh bear-leg of the broader downtrend from 78.21, 23 Dec high, with 76.00 to come in focus first.

Res: 77.00, 77.32, 77.40, 77.60
Sup: 76.76, 76.59, 76.55, 76.10





USD/CHF

Attempts to break above near-term 0.9463/0.9500 congestion, to signal possible bottoming, with regain of 0.9540 required to confirm. Hourly studies are gaining momentum, but 4H outlook still under pressure, while 20 day SMA at 0.9420 caps. On the downside, risk is seen on break below 0.9463, to open way for stronger reversal and expose strong support at 0.9400, daily 20 day SMA / Fib 61.8% of 0.9303/0.9593.
Near-term price action shows the pair at the back foot, after losing initial support at

Res: 0.9509, 0.9540, 0.9577, 0.9593
Sup: 0.9463, 0.9448, 0.9413, 0.9400

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