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Old 10-01-12, 15:39
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:45 GMT)

EUR/USD

Remains in a near-term corrective mode after leaving a higher low at 1.2720, with break above yesterday’s high at 1.2784, now approaching initial barrier at 1.2811/20, last Friday’s high / Fib 38.2% of 1.3071/1.2665 descend. Hourly studies remain supportive for further extension higher and possible retest of strong resistance at 1.2870 zone that is expected to limit gains, as wider timeframes remain in negative territory. However, regain of levels above 1.2900, would ease bear pressure and look for test of key near-term resistances at 1.3072/1.3100. On the downside, break below 1.2665 to resume broader downtrend and open key supports at 1.2600/1.2586.

Res: 1.2795, 1.2811, 1.2820, 1.2857
Sup: 1.2760, 1.2720, 1.2700, 1.2684





GBP/USD

The pair approaches 1.5500 barrier, figure resistance / Fib 38.2% of 1.5668/1.5374, on a third day of corrective action from 1.5374, last Friday’s fresh low. To confirm near-term basing attempt, regain of 1.5520 zone, Friday’s high / Fib 50%, is required. This would confirm wider picture’s range floor at 1.5360 intact and open way for stronger recovery towards 1.5600/40. Dynamic support at 1.5455, hourly 20 day SMA, maintains near-term bulls, with further dips to be contained above 1.5420, to keep near-term positive structure.

Res: 1.5500, 1.5520, 1.5555, 1.5579
Sup: 1.5450, 1.5420, 1.5400, 1.5374




USD/JPY

Hourly structure remains negative despite dips being contained at 76.75 zone, as 20 day SMA caps the near-term price action. In addition, 90 day SMA on a daily chart, that limited the recent attempts higher, now pointing lower, keeps the downside pressure and possible test of key support at 76.50 in play, with break here to expose 76.00 and pre-intervention low at 75.55. only break above 77.20/32 to avert immediate downside risk.

Res: 77.00, 77.32, 77.40, 77.60
Sup: 76.76, 76.59, 76.55, 76.10





USD/CHF

Near-term price action shows the pair at the back foot, after losing initial support at 0.9500 and additional pressure coming from yesterday’s SNB’s head resignation. Hourly structure remains negative, with 20 day SMA maintaining the latest decline and offering initial resistance, currently at 0.9500. Next downside target lies at 0.9448, Fib 50% of 0.9303/0.9593, loss of which to possibly attract key near-term support at 0.9400 zone, daily 20 day SMA / Fib 61.8%. On the upside, strong barriers lie at 0.9500 and 0.9540, with regain of the latter required to bring bulls in play and open way for retest of yesterday’s high at 0.9593.

Res: 0.9500, 0.9540, 0.9577, 0.9593
Sup: 0.9463, 0.9448, 0.9413, 0.9400

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