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Old 22-12-11, 14:37
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:45 GMT)

EUR/USD
The pair returns to weakness after yesterday’s gains spiked to 1.3200 barrier, but failure to break higher resulted in sharp reversal that nearly fully erased rally from 1.3000. Temporary support was found at 1.3024, with fresh attempt higher facing initial resistance at 1.3084, yesterday’s intraday high / 16 Dec high. Break here and 1.3100 is required to resume higher for possible retest of 1.3200, however, lack of momentum on 4H studies, may limit gains for now. On the downside, 1.3024 offers initial support, ahead of strong 1.3000 zone support, where also bull trendline off 1.2945 low lies and break below here and next support at 1.2980, to confirm lower top at 1.3200 and trigger fresh weakness towards 1.2945, with key m/t support at 1.2872 in sight.

Res: 1.3084, 1.3100, 1.3130, 1.3145
Sup: 1.3032, 1.3024, 1.3000, 1.2980





GBP/USD

Two days strong rally tested key near-term barrier at 1.5768/77, 12 Dec / 30 Nov peaks, where gains stalled, with subsequent pullback now attempting to base at 1.5650 zone. Weakening hourly studies suggest further weakness, with Fib 38.2% at 1.5635 coming first, ahead of 20 day SMA at 1.5620 and 1.5600 zone, figure support / Fib 50%. Loss of the latter to confirm that the pair remains within short-term 1.5407/1.5777 range, as daily structure remains capped by 55 day SMA. To improve near-term outlook, break above 1.5700 barrier is required, while clearance of 1.5777 to confirm double bottom and spark fresh extension of near-term bull phase.

Res: 1.5700, 1.5750, 1.5768, 1.5777
Sup: 1.5650, 1.5628, 1.5600, 1.5590





USD/JPY

Fresh strength from 77.60 higher base, retests key near-term resistance zone at 78.00/15, also trendline resistance, break of which to open way for fresh extension higher and test of another strong barrier at 78.27. Four-hour chart studies are turning positive, with 20 day SMA at 77.90, underpinning the structure. Only loss of 77.60/50 would be bearish.
Remains at the back foot, as 78.15 barriers stay intact for now, with reversal under 78.00 handle and break below triangle support and previous low at 77.80/70, increases risk of attempt at key short-term support levels at 77.60/50, below which to weaken short-term structure and possibly open 77.00.

Res: 78.11, 78.15, 78.27, 78.44
Sup: 78.00, 77.60, 77.48, 77.12





USD/CHF

Bounce off 0.9242, yesterday’s low, also Fib 61.8% of 0.9069/0.9545 upleg, faces strong barrier at 0.9400 zone, and while holding below here, risk remains at the downside, as hourly studies are pointing lower. Break below immediate support at 0.9330 to re-focus 0.9300 figure support / daily 20 day SMA, with retest of 0.9242 seen on a break. Only break above 0.9400 and regain of 0.9450 would signal higher low and turn focus towards 0.9500/45.

Res: 0.9390, 0.9400, 0.9450, 0.9500
Sup: 0.9330, 0.9300, 0.9290, 0.9265

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