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Old 22-11-11, 21:41
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (14:40 GMT)

EUR/USD

Eases back to 1.3500 level after today’s false break through main bear-trendline off 1.4246 was capped near Fib 38.2% of 1.4246/1.3421 at 1.3570. Initial positive tone on hourly chart is losing momentum, with downside risk at 1.3468, today’s higher low, loss of which to focus 1.3430, bull trendline off 1.3145 and 1.3421, 17 Nov low. Wider picture maintains neutral/negative tone, with current price action moving around 20 day SMA and indicators at their midlines, as shown oh 4-hour chart. Immediate resistance at 1.3555/70 zone, caps the near-term structure.

Res: 1.3539, 1.3555, 1.3565, 1.3600
Sup: 1.3482, 1.3468, 1.3430, 1.3421





GBP/USD

Recovery attempt failure at initial resistance at 1.5690, resulted in break below the near-term consolidative range floor and Fib 61.8% at 1.5611 and loss 1.5600 handle, to resume short-term bear-phase from 1.6164. Fresh extension lower reached 1.5581 so far, ahead of our next target at 1.5541, 12 Oct low. Hourly MACD is breaking below the signal line, suggesting further decline, while today’s high at 1.5690 should limit corrective action, as near-term studies enter oversold territory.

Res: 1.5620, 1.5678, 1.5690, 1.5717
Sup: 1.5581, 1.5541, 1.5500, 1.5483





USD/JPY

Regains 77.00 handle after quickly erasing overnight’s gains through 77.00 that spiked to 77.31. Near-term support was found at 76.80, keeping 76.56 low protected for now, however, weakening hourly studies may prevent the pair to revisit 77.31, today’s high. Break of either today’s extreme point would define the near-term price action. Daily chart’s studies are breaking below the midlines and favor further weakness whilev20 day SMA at 77.30 limits the upside.

Res: 77.12, 77.31, 77.50, 77.86
Sup: 76.80, 76.74, 76.56, 76.30





USD/CHF

Holds the near-term weak tone after losses found footstep at 0.9105 but bounce higher was capped by 20 day SMA at 0.9155. Negative hourly studies keep the near-term supports at 0.9100/0.9083 vulnerable, with potential break below 0.9083, also Fib 23.6% of 0.8566/0.9234 upleg, to signal stronger correction towards psychological support at 0.9000 and Fib 38.2% at 0.8980. Reversal above 0.9100, however, would keep hopes of fresh rally in play, as daily chart’s outlook remains bullish, with regain of minimum 0.9160/70 zone required to improve the near-term tone. Clearance of 0.9200 is required to re-focus 0.9234, previous high.

Res: 0.9158, 0.9184, 0.9207, 0.9234
Sup: 0.9105, 0.9083, 0.9000, 0.8980

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