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Old 01-08-11, 12:30
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (13:30 GMT)

EUR/USD

Corrects the latest gains from today’s low at 1.4345 that peaked at 1.4452. Brief break under 1.4400 handle would look for further extension towards 1.4388/78, 20 day MA / today’s intraday low, with reversal above 1.4345 required to keep near-term bulls in play for fresh attempt through 1.4452 and test of key barrier at 1.4576. On the downside, loss of 1.4345 would weaken near-term structure and allow stronger correction.

Res: 1.4452, 1.4470, 1.4506, 1.4529
Sup: 1.4378, 1.4345, 1.4300, 1.4253




GBP/USD

Weakens near-term tone after reversal from today’s fresh high at 1.6474, signaled by bearish divergence on 4-hour chart, lost initial support at 1.6390/80 zone, extending losses through 4- hour 20 day MA, currently at 1.6365 and 1.6342, Fib 61.8% retracement of 1.6260/1.6474, with clear break to confirm near-term top and turn focus towards 1.6300/1.6260.

Res: 1.6387, 1.6400, 1.6455, 1.6474
Sup: 1.6300, 1.6270, 1.6260, 1.6200




USD/JPY

Has fully retraced today’s recovery attempt from 76.87, after gains stalled at 78.03 and subsequent reversal dipped under 76.87, to post fresh 4-month low at 76.66. Immediate focus lies at 76.32, 16 Mar record low, loss of which to expose 76.00 next. Corrective attempts are seen capped at 76.75/78.00 for now and only lift above the latter to provide near-term relief.

Res: 76.87, 77.12, 77.41, 77.75
Sup: 76.66, 76.32, 76.00, 75.50





USD/CHF

Extends the fall from 0.8020, last Friday’s high, after recovery attempt from 0.7851 low stalled at0.7951, ahead of fresh leg lower. Losses broke below 0.7851 to post fresh record low at 0.7800 so far, with further extension towards 0.7750/00 seen favored. Oversold hourly conditions suggest corrective bounce, however 0.7951 offers strong resistance and only break here to ease immediate bear pressure.

Res: 0.7951, 0.7990, 0.8045, 0.8075
Sup: 0.7800, 0.7750, 0.7700, 0.7650

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