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Old 25-07-11, 12:21
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (13:30 GMT)

EUR/USD

Remains in a consolidative mode, with sideways trading still supported by 1.4323/30, Friday’s low / 20 day MA on 4-hour chart. Near-term studies are losing momentum, increasing risk of deeper reversal below 1.4323, towards 1.4300/1.4280. Holding above main trendline support at 1.4235, however, keeps the broader bull tone in play for retest of Friday’s high at 1.4437 and main trendline resistance at 1.4445, above which to open 1.4500 and 1.4576, 04 July high, on a break.

Res: 1.4416, 1.4437, 1.4450, 1.4500
Sup: 1.4330, 1.4323, 1.4310, 1.4281




GBP/USD

Short-term structure maintains positive tone after strength from 1.5779, 12 July low, broke above main trendline and channel resistance at 1.6220, to extend gains to 1.6343, just under Fib 61.8% of 1.6745/1.5779 descend at 1.6374. Current narrow-range consolidation is seen preceding fresh push higher, to target levels above 1.6400 barrier. Corrective dips need to be contained by 20 day MA, currently at 1.6250 and trendline support / previous high at 1.6230/00 zone, to maintain immediate bulls, otherwise, deeper reversal into 1.6130/1.6060, Fib 38.2% / 50% levels, would be the likely scenario.

Res: 1.6343, 1.6374, 1.6400, 1.6440
Sup: 1.6260, 1.6230, 1.6200, 1.6169




USD/JPY

Extends short-term bears after breaking below consolidative range floor at 79.55, to bottom at 78.45. Recovery attempt was short-lived, as gains were capped at 79.60 and fresh weakness dipped under 78.45, to hit 78.05 so far, with 76.32, 16 Mar pre-intervention low in sight. 20 day MA at 78.53, maintains negative tone, while only break above 79.55/60 would ease immediate bear pressure in favor of stronger correction into 80.00 zone.

Res: 78.35, 78.71, 79.00, 79.30
Sup: 78.05, 78.00, 76.94, 76.32





USD/CHF

Completes the near-term correction off 0.8073, as gains stalled at 0.8276 and subsequent decline broke below 0.8073, to post fresh record low at 0.8018 so far. This keeps broader bear tone firmly in play, as daily studies point lower. On the downside, 0.8000 is an initial target, break of which to open figures at 0.7950/00, while 0.8130/50 zone caps.

Res: 0.8073, 0.8100, 0.8135, 0.8167
Sup: 0.8018, 0.8000, 0.7950, 0.7900

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