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Old 21-07-11, 06:15
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:30 GMT)

EUR/USD

Extends the latest upleg from 1.4013, 18 July higher low, currently attempting through 1.4281, 14 July high. Break here to face strong resistance at 1.4300, daily 55 day MA, clearance of which is required to confirm bullish stance and open way for test of main trendline resistance, drawn off 1.4938, currently at 1.4467. On the downside, 20 day MA, currently at 1.4230, underpins the advance, while loss of 1.4200 handle would soften the near-term tone.

Res: 1.4300, 1.4373, 1.4400, 1.4465
Sup: 1.4237, 1.4216, 1.4205, 1.4165




GBP/USD

Maintains positive structure off 1.5779, 12 July low, with the latest leg higher from 1.6004, 18 July higher low, attempting to clear key barrier at 1.6192/1.6204, 14 July high / 55 day MA / main trendline resistance, break of which would confirm base at 1.5779 and focus 1.6256/61, Fib 50% retracement of 1.6745/1.5779 decline / 22 June high. Failure to clear 1.6200 zone, however, risks fresh weakness and would signal a resumption of the broader downtrend. Immediate support lies at 1.6150 zone, 20 day MA / today’s low.

Res: 1.6200, 1.6260, 1.6300, 1.6374
Sup: 1.6150, 1.6112, 1.6095, 1.6068




USD/JPY

Weakens the near-term structure after gains were capped at 79.30 and break below 78.80, range floor, extends losses towards 78.45would signal an end of current directionless phase and likely resume the broader bear trend towards 78.45, fresh 4-month low. Break here to open way for test of pre-intervention low at 76.32, short-term. On the upside, only regain of 79.60/80.00 would improve the near-term outlook.

Res: 79.00, 79.30, 79.59, 79.68
Sup: 78.61, 78.45, 78.00, 76.50





USD/CHF

Weakens the near-term structure as gains stall at 0.8276, previous low and subsequent reversal currently testing main near-term trendline support at 0.8195. Break here to signal top at 0.8276 further soften tone for test of 0.8150 and possible test of 0.8073 fresh record low.

Res: 0.8232, 0.8253, 0.8276, 0.8309
Sup: 0.8195, 0.8176, 0.8162, 0.8150

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