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Old 02-06-11, 12:50
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (13:30 GMT)

EUR/USD

Yesterday’s upside rejection at Fib 50% of 1.4938/1.3968 at 1.4450 zone has triggered strong reversal to 1.4300, where support was found for fresh leg higher. Break above 1.4450 has signaled an end of corrective phase and opened way for extension of the broader uptrend, towards psychological level at1.4500 and 1.4565/85, Fib 61.8% / 06 May highs. Corrective pullback on overbought hourly conditions should be contained at 1.4400/1.4380 zone, to maintain immediate bull tone.

Res: 1.4485, 1.4500, 1.4565, 1.4585
Sup: 1.4405, 1.4381, 1.4350, 1.4306





GBP/USD

Remains in a near-term downtrend, following an upside rejection at 1.6545, with subsequent 3-leeged pullback extending losses to 1.6300 zone, Fib 50% retracement of 1.6057/1.6545 upleg. Bounce above 1.6400 was short-lived, as gains stalled at 1.6416, and fresh weakness to 1.6350 zone so far, attempting to leave lower top. However, break below 1.6315/05, daily 55 day MA and today’s low, is needed to confirm and open way towards 1.6250, 90 day MA and Fib 61.8% level. Only regain of 1.6416/40 zone would ease near-term bear pressure.

Res: 1.6400, 1.6416, 1.6440, 1.6494
Sup: 1.6315, 1.6305, 1.6250, 1.6210




USD/JPY

Maintains negative short-term tone after recovery attempt from 80.70 failed on approach to strong resistance zone at 81.90/82.20. Reversal under 80.70 has so far tested Fib 61.8% of 79.55/82.20 ascend at 80.60, keeping the pressure to the downside and looking for test of 80.33/15, possibly 80.00/79.55 on a break. 20 day MA at 81.10 offers immediate resistance, while regain of 81.76 improves the near-term outlook

Res: 81.10, 81.31, 81.50, 81.76
Sup: 80.55, 80.33, 80.15, 80.00





USD/CHF

Opens the fresh phase lower after minor recovery attempt from 0.8463, previous record low was capped at 0.8550 zone and subsequent fall extended losses through 0.8400, to post fresh all-time low at 0.8381. Negative near-term studies keep further weakness favored, as corrective attempts were capped at 0.8450. Only regain of 0.8550 zone would ease current bear pressure.

Res: 0.8432, 0.8451, 0.8463, 0.8500
Sup : 0.8400, 0.8350, 0.8300, 0.8250

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