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Old 31-05-11, 06:26
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EUR/USD

Maintains bull tone from 1.3968, 23 may low, after narrow consolidation from yesterday’s high at 1.4325 was contained above 1.4250. Fresh strength through 1.4325, previous high / daily 55 day MA, has emerged above daily Ichimoku cloud at 1.4370 and so far tested 1.4400 barrier, posting new 3-week high at 1.4405. Immediate scope is seen for test of 1.4422/40, 11/09 May highs, also Fib 50% retracement of 1.4938/1.3968 downleg, break of which would open 1.4500/65, 05/06 May lows / Fib 61.8%, next. Overbought near-term conditions, however, warn of corrective pullback, with 1.4340 zone offering immediate support and 1.4250 area, yesterday’s low / 20 day MA on 4-hour chart, expected to hold dips to keep bulls in play.

Res: 1.4405, 1.4422, 1.4440, 1.4500
Sup: 1.4340, 1.4300, 1.4256, 1.4200




GBP/USD

Continues to trend higher from 1.6057, 24 May fresh 3-week low, after yesterday’s marginal break above 1.6500 barrier stalled at 1.6510, just under strong resistance at 1.6516, with shallow correction finding support at 1.6550, ahead of fresh push higher. Lift above 1.6500 and clearance of 1.6516 now focuses 1.6550/73, 03/04 May highs and 1.6581, 76.4% retracement of 1.6745/1.6057 descend, with possible attempt at 1.6700/45 high seen on a break. Correction on overbought hourly / 4-hour conditions should be contained at 1.6450/00 zone, to maintain positive tone.

Res: 1.6545, 1.6573, 1.6581, 1.6600
Sup: 1.6505, 1.6450, 1.6400, 1.6380




USD/JPY

Returns to strength after upside rejection at 82.20 zone triggered reversal. Support was found at 80.70, 16 May low and Fib 61.8% retracement of 79.55/82.20 ascend, with fresh strength breaking above 81.30/60 barriers. Clearance of 81.90/82.08, daily 55/90 day MA’s and previous top at 82.20 is required to confirm higher low and resume uptrend from 79.55, with 82.61, 200 day MA and 82.80/83.09 seen on a break. Failure under 82.20, however, risks lower top and continuation of the short-term downtrend from 85.51.

Res: 81.88, 82.00, 82.08, 82.20
Sup: 81.44, 81.12, 81.00, 80.70





USD/CHF

Maintains strong bear-tone after minor recovery from previous record low at 0.8531 was capped by hourly 20 day MA at 85.90 zone and fresh weakness extended through 0.831 and important support at 0.8500, post new all-time low at 0.8463. Bounce on oversold hourly conditions, faces immediate barrier at 0.8530/50 zone, with regain of minimum 0.8600 needed to ease immediate bear pressure. On the downside, loss of 0.8463 would open 0.8400 next.

Res: 0.8538, 0.8550, 0.8593, 0.8660
Sup : 0.8506, 0.8485, 0.8463, 0.8450

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