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Old 24-05-11, 06:15
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EUR/USD

Trades in a near-term corrective mode after losing ground last Friday and yesterday’s losses through 1.4046/1.4020 supports, send the pair to fresh 2-month low at 1.3968. Recovery has so far reached 1.4085, after regaining momentum above 1.4000. Near-term focus is at 1.4120/35 zone initially. Next comes 20 day MA on 4-hour, currently at 1.4167, ahead of 1.4200, 61.8% retracement of 1.4344/1.3968 downleg, above which and 1.4230 would open way towards 1.4344. Broader picture from 1.4938, however, remains bearish and only reclaim of 1.4344/1.4440 would improve. On the downside, 1.4000 offers immediate support, while below 1.3968 fresh leg lower would look for test of 1.3900, possibly 1.3860/50 on a break.

Res: 1.4085, 1.4093, 1.4120, 1.4135
Sup: 1.4036, 1.4000, 1.3968, 1.3900





GBP/USD

Maintains short-term bearish tone after upside being limited at 1.6300 and fresh weakness from here broke below 1.6100, near-term range support, to signal fresh phase lower of broader descend from 1.6745, annual high. Loss of 1.6000 handle would open way towards 1.5950, Feb/Mar consolidative range floor. Current recovery attempt off 1.6057, overnight’s fresh low, has so far regained 1.6130 barrier, ahead of 1.6166, with 20 day MA at 1.6180 and 1.6200 zone expected to cap for now.


Res: 1.6166, 1.6200, 1.6215, 1.6232
Sup: 1.6100, 1.6090, 1.6057, 1.6030





USD/JPY

Keeps bulls from 79.55, 05 May low, in play after pullback from 82.22, fresh high posted on 19 May found support at 81.31, 12 May previous high. Upside clearance of 82.07/22 barriers is needed to resume gains towards 82.80/83.09 next. Downside remains supported at 81.31 and 81.15, main short-term trendline support.

Res: 82.07, 82.20, 82.80, 83.09
Sup: 81.31, 81.15, 80.93, 80.69





USD/CHF

Break above triangle resistance at 0.8840 and 0.8878, 19 May lower high, stalled on approach to 0.8900 level, and subsequent reversal finding temporary support at 0.8810, 4-hour 20 day MA. Key near-term supports lie at 0.8780, trendline off 0.8550 and 0.8750 zone, loss of which would suggest a lower top at 0.8890 and open way towards 0.8700 zone next. Holding above 0.8800 zone, however, keeps hopes of fresh attack at 0.8900/44 and possible extension of corrective phase from 0.8550.

Res: 0.8890, 0.8900, 0.8944, 0.9007
Sup : 0.8810, 0.8780, 0.8750, 0.8706

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