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Old 22-03-11, 07:19
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)

EUR/USD

Remains in bull-trend after yesterday’s break above 1.42 level hit 1.4239 high and subsequent consolidation above 20 day MA, currently at 1.4207. Succession of fresh highs keeps focus at 1.4280/1.4303 key barriers, Nov 2010 peak / major trendline resistance, despite overbought hourly/4-hour conditions. Dips are for now seen corrective, with 1.4200/1.4140 offering initial support, while key near-term support lies at 1.3855.

Res: 1.4241, 1.4256, 1.4280, 1.4303
Sup: 1.4200, 1.4182, 1.4150, 1.4135





GBP/USD

Extends advance from 1.5959, 17 Mar low and short-term range floor, to eventually break above 1.63 barrier. 1.6326 high was seen so far, with focus on key short-term level at 1.6342, 02 Mar high, break of which will signal a break above the near-term consolidation range and expose 1.6456, Jan 2010 annual high. However, risk of upside rejection under 1.6342 still exists, as wider picture shows a formation of head and shoulders pattern from Feb 2011, and failure to clear 1.6342 will suggest a completion of the pattern and attack at neckline at 1.5952.

Res: 1.6326, 1.6342, 1.6370, 1.6400
Sup: 1.6291, 1.6250, 1.6200, 1.6180





USD/JPY

Consolidates in a narrow range after sharp recovery off 79.25 record low peaked at 82.00. Downside remains supported by 80.57, Friday’s low / 20 day MA, for now, with clearance of 81.30, range ceiling and 82.00 needed to resume recovery. 82.66, 90 day MA on a daily chart, and 83.30, 11 Mar high, are seen on a break. However, loss of 80.57 will signal fresh weakness under 80.00 handle. Longer-term outlook remains bearish.

Res: 81.31, 81.74, 81.98, 82.41
Sup: 80.81, 80.57, 80.16, 80.00





USD/CHF

Maintains near-term positive tone after reversal from 0.9089, last Friday’s recovery high, settles above 0.9000 level. Recent range’s ceiling at 0.9072/89 needs to be cleared to resume recovery attempt off 0.8900 record low, and expose 0.9139, near 50% retracement of 0.9367/0.8900 downleg where a lower high is anticipated, ahead of fresh weakness, with loss of 0.9000 support to re-focus 0.8961/0.8900 levels.
Undergoes recovery after dipping to a fresh all-time low at 0.8900

Res: 0.9072, 0.9089, 0.9139, 0.9200
Sup:0.9011, 0.9000, 0.8986, 0.8961

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